Stop trying to time the exact top and bottom !!(reddit.com)

Back in late 2025, I did the hardest thing you can do in a bull market: I took profit. I completely exited my BTC and alt positions while the entire internet was screaming that $150k–$200k was a certainty and that the "supercycle" had finally arrived. People called me a fool. They told me I was leaving life-changing money on the table. Maybe I did leave some gains behind. But my goal was never to sell the exact top because trying to do that is a guaranteed way to round-trip your portfolio back to zero. My thesis wasn't complicated. It didn't rely on 50 different indicators. It relied on three simple facts: The Math: Bitcoin had already put in a massive post-halving run. It was statistically overextended. The Sentiment: Total, blinding euphoria. Everyone from random influencers to Uber drivers was a financial genius. The History: Markets are driven by human emotion, and human emotion never changes. What goes up violently always corrects painfully. Fast forward to today. The hype is gone. Bitcoin is testing the 200-week EMA, maximum fear is back, and the same influencers who promised $200k are now completely silent or calling for zero. Here is my game plan for the current market: Just like I didn't try to guess the exact top, I am not trying to guess the exact bottom. But I think we get to 40/50k with the world cup happening imo no financial advice. Anyone who claims they can time it perfectly is lying to you. Instead, I am executing a emotionless, mechanical reversal of my sell strategy: 1 Gradual Re-entry: I am starting to scale back in at price levels I am fundamentally comfortable with. 2 Preparing for Lower Lows: If the market drops further, I win I get to buy cheaper assets with my sidelined cash. 3 Accepting the Pivot: If this is the bottom, I winI’ve already started building my position. submitted by /u/KarimHann [link] [Kommentare]